China Macro Brief: September 2025

China Macro Brief: September 2025

New economic data show that China has made significant strides in offsetting the economic impacts of the US-China trade stand-off. A recent flurry of diplomatic engagement between the US and China, both at numerous levels and from numerous departments, indicates a gradual softening of the highly confrontational tête-à-tête that President Trump began with his “reciprocal” confrontation earlier this year.
Tariffs & US Relations
After US and Chinese officials, led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Vice Premier He Lifeng, met in Stockholm, Sweden the tariff truce was extended by a further 90-days, commencing 11th August and ending 10th November. In the interim US tariffs on the majority of Chinese goods will remain capped at 30%, and Chinese tariffs on the majority of US goods will remain at 10%. That said, on 1st August the US imposed a 50% tariff on a selection of unfinished copper products, whilst China continues to keep a firm grip on the export of rare earths products to th...

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