Brazil Macro Brief: July 2025

Brazil Macro Brief: July 2025

In July US-Brazil relations took a nosedive, propelling US tariffs on Brazilian products to a new high commencing 1st August. Brazil is now considering its retaliatory options. Stubborn inflation rose in June compared to May and the BCB propelled the SELIC rate a further 25bp to now 15% in response.
US Relations, Visas, and Tariffs
In June US tariffs on Brazilian products remained at the broad 10% level set in April, with the exception of steel at 50%. However, on Friday 18th June, after Brazil’s supreme court decided to issue search warrants and restraining orders against former President Bolsonaro – a key ally of President Trump – the US suddenly revoked the US visas of no less than eight of Brazil’s supreme court justices. Shortly thereafter Trump announced a new 50% blanket tariff on Brazilian goods commencing 1st August, prefacing the announcement with a direct criticism of the supreme court decision against Bolsonaro and calling it a “witch hunt”. Bolsonaro stands accused of plo...

You must be  signed in to read this content. Please enter your user name and password below for access. Want the full Brief? Register free for full access to 16+ countries. Register for free here.