The timing of current peace negotiations is nonsensical – the Rosneft/ Lukoil sanctions need more time to have real effect on Russia. The initial US 28-point peace plan was appalling, and Europe’s rework little better – both fail to address the crucial, central impasse for both sides. Trump’s thirst for a quick peace will, at best, achieve simply an end (pause) in fighting NOT real peace. We doubt we will see real peace until the West takes the time to understand (and only understand) the Russian perspective, and build in security guarantees for both sides.
Last month we began with a bullet point that "nails are being whacked into the Russian coffin”. Yet, this month we find that, highly prematurely, those same nails are now being prised out again when all that was needed was a little patience so as to allow the burial to go ahead. Premature Peace Negotiations As we reported at the end of October the Western world finally, belatedly, got its act together on 22nd October and imposed si...
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