Category: Kingsway Iran

The JCPOA is nearing the end of its 10-year lifespan, but the anticipated lifting of all nuclear-related sanctions - and the associated economic relief - is unlikely to occur. In the absence of significant progress in talks (on enrichment, regional proxies, the missile program, and support for Russia’s campaign in Ukraine), the E3 must decide…

The Iran–Israel conflict that erupted on 13th June saw Israel launch airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, killing key scientists and commanders. Iran retaliated with hundreds of ballistic missiles targeting Israeli cities, escalating into a multi-day exchange. The US intervened on 22 June with bunker-buster strikes on major Iranian nuclear facilities, and a ceasefire…

As the week came to an end in Tehran, and with another round of diplomacy set to start, the Israelis lost patience and struck multiple targets in Iran. After three days the conflict has entered a volatile new phase, marked by precision strikes, missile barrages, and rising civilian casualties. What began as a targeted Israeli…

More talks. Few details or positive signs have come from them but the fact that they are still ongoing shows both sides’ willingness to see what concessions are on the table. The US Administration is confused about what those might be. More bad news on the economy underscores the need for economic concessions but not…

Since last month, we have gone from a public rejection by Iran’s Supreme Leader of a US offer to talk, to a first indirect meeting of envoys in Oman. Trump aims to resolve the nuclear situation -and more- by June and will ratchet up the pressure between now and then. Talks announced, divisions with Israel.……

Trump’s letter to Khamenei, scarred from his experience of Trump’s reneging on the last nuclear deal, elicits a negative response. More external ‘maximum pressure’ is on its way. Internally, the screws are being turned on domestic dissenters. Nuclear negotiations. Iran is on the brink of developing nuclear weapons, according to a warning from the IAEA.………

The Islamic Republic celebrates its 46th anniversary with public shows of anger against the revolutionary regime and economic deterioration undermining the republic’s legitimacy. Trump has his eyes on squeezing Iranian oil, aimed as exacerbating these woes. Public discontent. On February 9th during the 46th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, protestors in several Iranian cities—including…

Tehran witnesses the fatal shooting of two of its most-senior and controversial judges, underlining the unpopularity – at least in some quarters – of the regime and its fiercest lieutenants. Pezeshkian strengthens relations with Moscow, and domestic rumours grow around his predecessor’s death, forcing the military to publicly quash conspiracy theories. … Read the rest

If last month was a bad one for the Islamic Republic (and it was), this month was truly وحشتناک  or Vahshatnāk. Horrible. Iran now faces one of the most significant challenges to its regional strategy in decades, with key ally Assad’s fall marking a major blow to its influence and leaving its hardline factions grappling…

Israel counters, striking military targets in Tehran and elsewhere. The sites struck leave Iran without key air defences and severely damage its military-industrial base. Meanwhile Donald Trump’s return to the White House is likely to see an even more hostile approach to Iran. Israel strikes back. On 26th October, Israel launched the largest assault on…