Category: How We Think

For decades the United States was the world’s great consumer, importing more than it sold, and building trade deficits around the planet. Now, in pockets of the emerging and frontier world, Washington is suddenly chalking up trade surpluses. At first glance, this looks like an American comeback. In reality, it is an illusion built on…

Forget the viral clips. The real story out of the NATO Summit wasn’t Trump’s mood swings or Zelenskyy’s charm offensive. It was a quiet yet seismic financial shift – one that fundamentally rewires how the West funds Ukraine’s war effort. For the first time, NATO has agreed that aid to Ukraine can officially count towards…

Ekrem İmamoğlu is one of the most formidable political threats to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s rule. In this article we delve into his significance for Türkiye, and why his recent arrest has caused such a vociferous reaction across the country. If you have not already read our article Türkiye Primer: Democracy to Autocracy then we…

President Erdoğan has made significant shifts in Turkish politics over his more than two decades in power, transitioning Turkey from a parliamentary democracy to an executive presidency all while consolidating control over key institutions. Here are some of the most critical changes and how he did it. In 2017, Erdoğan pushed for a constitutional referendum…

The recent revelation by The Atlantic’s editor, Jeffrey Goldberg, that he was inadvertently included in a Signal chat group discussing imminent US airstrikes on Yemen is nothing short of astonishing. This scandal exposes a troubling mix of incompetence, naiveté and callous disregard for both military realities and global alliances. The implications of this blunder will…

President Donald Trump has openly criticized NATO, suggesting the US should leave the alliance. Elon Musk has echoed similar sentiments and US relations with NATO allies have been under strain. It is worth considering what a NATO without the United States might look like – and what it could be capable of.… Read the rest

There is an old, if rather distasteful, analogy: drop a frog into boiling water and it jumps out, but put it in cold water, slowly turn up the heat, and the frog will stay until it dies. So it is with both those still blindly following Trump, believing his and Vance’s crass actions conceal some…

Every nation has its own unique power blend to employ in the pursuit of its aims. Some nations’ blends are stronger, some are weaker, but all of them are composed of two ingredients – hard and soft power. The precise mix of soft and hard ingredients in each nation’s power smoothie, depends on that country’s…

We are living through a defining moment in history; the now unmistakable, and ignominious in its execution, end of Pax Americana. This is not just a transition into the Indo-Pacific Tilt geopolitical epoch; it is the sad, premature death of American pre-eminence as the world’s foremost authority and power. And no, this is not entirely…