Category: How We Think

1st September 2021 How did we get here, to this debacle? For that it is what it absolutely is – a debacle, a tragedy, a geopolitical misstep. You, our clients, have known for many months, even years, our fervent position that negotiations with the Afghan Taliban (henceforth Taliban, as opposed to the Pakistani Taliban or…

10th October 2018 Once again, talks between Cairo and Addis Ababa have ended in deadlock. In the last week of September Water Ministers from Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt met in the Ethiopian capital to discuss the reservoir filling operations of the dam. Egypt rejected Ethiopia’s proposals. The three countries have been engaging in tripartite talks…

20th September 2018 President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has his hands full. Whilst Egypt’s fighting with Islamic State-allied (IS or Daesh) militants centred around Arish in Northern Sinai has caught the world’s eye and has been robustly addressed with much publicity by the Egyptian military, there also exists a bubbling conflict in the Western Desert that…

20th September 2018 In mid-July a popular English-language weekly that covers economics, politics and finance published an article discussing the spread of Islamist terror groups in the Sahel, and the “fall” of Nigeria. Perhaps you read it … Like a lot of mainstream media the article provided an adequate overview, but tended toward the alarmist. ……

20th September 2018 “The slowdown in Kenya’s economic momentum is largely attributable to three drivers … Third, election-related uncertainty weakened private sector activity for a good part of 2017.” World Bank, 7 Dec, 2017 Kenya’s economy has certainly bounced back since the fractious elections of 2017, and with key elections having just occurred in Pakistan,…